‌IPL 2025 Mega Auction Preview: Analyzing Punjab Kings' Strategy

Gantavya Adukia
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Punjab Kings again find themselves in the all-too-familiar space of having to build from scratch, even as other teams increasingly focus on keeping their cores intact. However, the retention of just two uncapped players has left the franchise with INR 110.5 crores – the biggest purse in the league.

The Punjab Kings story has begun to feel stale at this point, owing to their knack of repeating the same mistakes over and over again. The franchise has once again chosen to retain no more than two players, much like all the previous mega auctions. However, unlike those occasions, the Kings have refused to keep hold of any capped players, perhaps a direct consequence of finishing sixth, eighth, and ninth respectively in the latest cycle. The shift to a new home venue in Mullanpur did not help either as the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium offered the most difficult batting conditions in an otherwise run-filled IPL season.

Nevertheless, the appointment of Ricky Ponting as head coach to replace Trevor Bayliss has ignited some hope in the Punjab camp. For starters, he will have available the services of Shashank Singh (5.5 cr) and Prabhsimran Singh (4 cr). Expected to play second string to the more established international stars, the two men emerged as Punjab’s highest run-getters in 2024 with the former enjoying a breakthrough season low down the order. 

However, the Australian still has much work to do, including building a new core and acquiring a capable leader from the vast pool of players. Analyzing last season’s failures should be a good place to start for Ponting to understand what went wrong and how it can be remedied with a sound auction strategy.

Far from Royal in the Powerplay

On paper, the Kings’ performance up top, especially with the bat, was the most significant factor for their disastrous season. The team’s true average of 51 in the powerplay was the fourth-worst in the IPL, three shy of the league average. Punjab also lost 23 wickets in the first six overs, the same as Sunrisers Hyderabad with only three teams having a worse record.

Prabhsimran emerged as the only saving grace with an average of 33.71 and struck at nearly 160 in the phase, his 148 balls faced making up a fifth of the team’s entire quota. The two other men trusted up the order were Jonny Bairstow and Shikhar Dhawan – the former registering a solitary 50+ score in 11 innings while the latter struck at 123.75 and announced his retirement at the end of the season. Punjab are spoilt for options as far as picking a partner for Prabhsimran is concerned, given the presence of Phil Salt, KL Rahul, Ishan Kishan, Jos Buttler, and Quinton de Kock amongst others in the auction pool.

The bowling with a shiny new Kookaburra was relatively better, albeit the two-pace nature of their home surface did help. Punjab had the third-best powerplay economy amongst the 10 teams and outperformed the league’s true average of 57 by three runs. However, they struggled for breakthroughs and managed the second least wickets in the phase, striking once only every 30 deliveries.

The pace trio of Arshdeep Singh, Kagiso Rabada, and Sam Curran took the brunt of the responsibility, combining for almost 80% of the team’s powerplay effort. Yet, none of them took more than seven wickets or conceded runs at under eight and half an over.

The three quicks also bowled nearly 30% of the Kings’ middle overs in 2024, where these individuals' struggles persisted. Nevertheless, given Arshdeep’s standing as one of India’s premier T20I pacers, his ability to swing the new ball, nail yorkers with an older one, and his IPL pedigree, the Punjab pacer can rest assured of a recall to the setup. While Rabada and Curran also stand a chance of being RTM’ed simply on the back of their oeuvre and reputation, there are much more tempting options in the market. The return of Mohammed Shami to extend his PBKS record of 58 wickets in three seasons is one, as is the option to buy a tall quick in the mould of Marco Jansen or express pacers such as a Lockie Ferguson that can potentially thrive on Mullanpur’s two-paced surface.

Middling Performance in the middle

Fortunately, the rest of the unit comprising Harpeet Brar, Rahul Chahar, and Harshal Patel turned up better. Punjab Kings performed better than the average league economy of 9.08 in the middle overs as they leaked runs at only 8.77 an over. They took 44 wickets as well in the process, placing them an impressive fourth in the league rankings with a strike rate of 21. With neither of the two frontline spinners expected to attract huge bids, Punjab could re-acquire the duo despite Brar’s subpar bowling average of 46.50. But much like the pacers, the presence of Yuzvendra Chahal, Noor Ahmed, and Adam Zampa in the market should by default make them the primary targets of any team on the hunt for a revamped spin attack.

That said, the ability to break partnerships remained an issue during the middle overs in Mullanpur. While the Punjab bowlers took 15 wickets in their five games at the venue, the visiting units combined for 19. But perhaps the concern can be ascribed more to how their batters performed. In IPL 2024, Punjab was the only team to lose over 50 wickets in the middle overs and averaged just 25.50 runs per dismissal. All the other nine teams had at least one batter that scored over 250 runs in this phase while the Kings’ top performer was Shashank Singh with 214 runs.

The youngster alongwith fellow retention Prabhsimran only faced a quarter of Punjab’s deliveries in the middle order while four other batters faced over 70 balls, namely Sam Curran, Jitesh Sharma, Jonny Bairstow, and Rilee Roussow. The latter was the only one to impress but regardless of his return, a marquee middle-over signing is inevitable. With three experienced captains available in the market who could excel in this role – Shreyas Iyer, Rishabh Pant, and KL Rahul – be prepared to watch that INR 110.50 crore purse dwindle at alarming rates.

Death the Saving Grace

The predicament birthed in the middle overs unsurprisingly carried over to the death as bowlers had to face 23% of Kings’ deliveries in the last four overs. If not for the bombastic pairing of Ashutosh Sharma and Shashank in this phase, where the duo faced a third of all the deliveries and struck at over 200 combined, the Kings’ record of fourth lowest death batting strike rate in IPL 2024 could have read much worse.

Things were brighter with the ball, majorly due to the efforts of one man Harshal Patel. The purple cap holder took an astounding 16 wickets in the last four overs and another 10 from Arshdeep meant Punjab’s overall tally read 48, miles clear of the next-best teams with 33 scalps. However, even such heroics were not enough to stem the flow of runs as Punjab registered the fifth-worst death bowling economy rate despite the favourable bowling conditions at home.

The team’s decision to not retain Harshal is perhaps indicative of their intentions to move on to different pastures unless they believe the veteran would net less than INR 18 crores at the auction. An RTM in such a scenario is likely but the team would also be targeting the likes of T Natarajan, Avesh Khan, and Mohammed Siraj among the Indian reserves to provide options through all three phases of the match.

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