Arsenal vs Everton Match Prediction

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Chance of Winning

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Dec 14, 202406:00 PM

England

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal will square up against Everton in the Premier League on Saturday at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners were not able to cover massive ground to Liverpool in their last game as they were held to a 1-1 draw at Craven Cottage. Raul Jimenez scored for the home side within 11 minutes, catching the Gunner's defence off guard. Arsenal hit back early in the second half as Saliba scored his second goal in successive games from a corner. The Gunners thought they won the game at the end thanks to Saka’s lovely strike; however, it was ruled out by VAR for offside. The Gunners are 6 points behind Liverpool, having played an extra game.

Everton goes into this game having played no football at the weekend as the Merseyside Derby got postponed due to a snowstorm. The Toffees will go into this game fresh on the back of a 4-0 win that they had against Wolves. Arsenal will also play midweek in the Champions League with them hosting Monaco at the Emirates.

Facts:

Arsenal had a pretty bad spell against Everton in the Premier League recently; however, the turnaround has been really positive. The Gunners, in a period between 2020 and 2023, lost 4 games and won just 1 of their 5 games played against the Toffees. The Gunners since then have retaliated by winning each of their last 3 games, including a double last season.
Everton does not have a good record when it comes to playing at the Emirates Stadium in the Premier League. The Toffees have lost 23 out of their last 28 games with 4 draws and just 1 win to show for. That win came in the 2021 season with Bernd Leno scoring an own goal for Arsenal.
Arsenal and Everton have a huge history when it comes to their history in the top-flight campaigns of England. Arsenal have a fantastic record against the Toffees, winning 102 games in total, being the most any team has beaten another in the entire top flight history. The Gunners’ goal tally of 344 goals against Everton is also the highest when it comes to goals scored against an opponent in the top flight.
Arsenal has had a fantastic calendar year until now when it comes to playing in front of their fans at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners have lost just 1 of the 16 home games that they have played at the Emirates Stadium this year. Arteta has an 81% win rate at home with 13 wins and 2 draws from their 16 games. The last time Arsenal had a better winning percentage at home in a calendar year was in 2007 when they won 16 of their 19 games played that year with an 84% win rate.

Arsenal vs Everton Chance of Winning

The recent head-to-head record between Arsenal and Everton is as one-sided as it can get, with the Gunners beating the Toffees outright. In the recent 36 games between the two teams, Arsenal has won on 22 occasions; 7 games ended in a draw, with Everton winning 7 games.

Arsenal this season does look a tad inconsistent, as their performance against Fulham showed. At home, however, they do produce good displays; hence they have a better chance to win this game. Everton has been susceptible in terms of their defence, and we do see them being under a lot of pressure in this game. Arsenal are not only a threat when it comes to open play but also from set pieces. Everton will have to defend mightily well if they want to end up getting anything from this game. Arsenal are well-drilled at home, and that is why we give the Toffees little to no chance in this game.

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Arsenal vs Everton Predictions and Betting Tips

This game has all the capabilities of being one of the most one-sided affairs in the Premier League. Both teams went into this game on the back of contrasting results. Arsenal’s draw was away against Fulham at Craven Cottage. Everton comprehensively beat a struggling Wolverhampton Wanderers side at home. The bookies have labelled this tie as one of the most one-sided games, even though Everton comes into this game with a better result to their name. Everton are 12.50 odds to beat Arsenal, who are favourites with 1.26. This is one of those games that, in 9 out of 10 cases, should favour Arsenal, as their record at home tends to be very good.

Arsenal’s record this season at the Emirates in the last couple of game weeks has been very good. They go into this game with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 games at the Emirates. They have only dropped points to the table toppers in Liverpool most recently, which was a 2-2 draw. They have not tasted defeat at home this season until now. Most recently they have beaten Nottingham Forest and Manchester United by a scoreline of 3-0 and 2-0, respectively.

Everton goes into this game with not the best of away stats. The Toffees overall, as per their standards, should do slightly better, as they have just the 1 win to show on the road. They have lost 4 and drawn 2 away from home this season. Their losses came to Aston Villa, Manchester United, Southampton, and Tottenham Hotspur. Their only away win this season until now remains at Portman Road, where they won 2-0 against Ipswich Town.

Based on the above stats, here are our predictions and tips for this game. We expect Arsenal to win this game by a comprehensive margin. The Gunners winning this game by 2 or more goals is our call. Everton defensively away from home does have problems conceding 1.86 goals on average per game. Hence our prediction is for Mikel Arteta’s men to also win this game by a 2 or more-goal margin. We also expect Arsenal to keep a clean sheet and restrict Everton from scoring on Saturday. Mikel Arteta has Arsenal’s defence once again looking like an impregnable fortress. Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 home games. Everton comes into this having conceded 4 goals and scored none against Manchester United in their last away game. Hence we back Arsenal to keep their third successive clean sheet at home on Saturday.

In terms of total goals scored, we do see this game being a very high-scoring one. Everton are not expected to get goals in this game, but Arsenal recently at home has shown that they can blow past teams in this season. Hence our call is for this game to have 2.5 goals or more on Saturday.

Bukayo Saka this season continues to be one of the best assets to back for Arsenal. Saka this season has a very good goal involvement tally, scoring 5 goals and getting 10 assists already. Saka was very unlucky not to score in his last game against Fulham, as his goal right at the death was ruled out for offside. Everton has their problems at left back with Mykolenko not being the best when it comes to his defensive positioning. Hence we do see Bukayo Saka thriving in this game. Our prediction is for Saka to score or assist anytime in this game.

Martin Ødegaard coming back into this team has completely changed Arsenal’s dynamic when it comes to their attacking play. The Norwegian midfielder, since his return from injury on the 10th of November, has already created a massive tally of 17 chances for his teammates. No other player in the Premier League has superseded Odegaard in this spell. We also see Odegaard being pivotal in this game, and we back him to also register an anytime assist or a goal.

Arsenal have already made it a hat trick of games when it comes to scoring from corners. They have found the back of the net from a corner against West Ham United, Manchester United, and Nottingham Forest. Arsenal have never scored from a corner in 4 consecutive games, with the last team doing so being Liverpool in 2022. There is a good chance that Arsenal could do it against Everton, as their record from corner kicks is sublime. The Gunners have scored a total of 23 goals from corners since the start of last season. No other team in the Premier League touches that tally.

Final Prediction:Arsenal to beat Everton

Arsenal Player List

Goalkeepers: Aaron Ramsdale, David Raya

Defenders: Kieran Tierney, Ben White, Gabriel, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Jurrien Timber, Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders: Thomas Partey, Bukayo Saka, Martin Odegaard, Jorginho, Fabio Vieira, Kai Havertz, Declan Rice

Attackers:Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli, Eddie Nketiah, Leandro Trossard, Reiss Nelson

Arsenal Playing XI

Player	Role
David Raya	Goalkeeper
Ben White	Defender
William Saliba	Defender
Gabriel	Defender
Oleksandr Zinchenko	Defender
Declan Rice	Midfielder
Thomas Partey	Midfielder
Martin Odegaard	Midfielder
Bukayo Saka	Attacker
Kai Havertz	Attacker
Gabriel Martinelli	Attacker

Arsenal Team Form(Last five-game): D, W, W, W, D

Everton Player List

Goalkeepers: Jordan Pickford, Joao Virginia, Harry Tyrer, Billy Crellin

Defenders: James Tarkowski, Nathan Patterson, Mason Holgate, Michael Keane, Vitalii Mykolenko, Seamus Coleman, Ashley Young, Jarrad Branthwaite, Jake O’Brien

Midfielders: Abdoulaye Doucoure, Idrissa Gueye, James Garner, Tim Iroegbunam

Attackers:Dwight McNeil, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Beto, Jack Harrison, Youssef Chermiti, Neal Maupay, Jesper Lindstrom, Iliman Ndiaye

Everton Playing XI

Player	Role
Jordan Pickford	Goalkeeper
Vitalii Mykolenko	Defender
Jake O’Brien	Defender
James Tarkowski	Defender
Ashley Young	Defender
Idrissa Gueye	Midfielder
Tim Iroegbunam	Midfielder
Dwight McNeil	Attacker
Abdoulaye Doucoure	Midfielder
Jack Harrison	Attacker
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	Attacker

Everton Team Form(Last five games): W, L, D, D, L

Arsenal vs Everton Head-To-Head

Matches Played:223

Arsenal wins:112

Everton wins:65

Matches are drawn:46

Arsenal vs Everton Betting Odds

Arsenal to win the match (PARIMATCH): 1.26.

Everton to win the match (PARIMATCH): 12.50.

Match to end in a draw (PARIMATCH): 6.30.

The betting odds have been calculated based on team performances in previous matches, player records etc. Odds are subject to change.

Our Prediction

Favorites to win

Arsenal

Arsenal go into this game as heavy favourites to win even though they go into this on the back of a poor performance against Fulham. The Gunners are already playing a massive catch-up race to Liverpool, and dropping points at home after doing so in an away game will just make it harder. Everton come into this on the back of a morale-boosting 4-0 win against Wolves at home. However, their away performances have been quite worrying this season. Arsenal should easily be expected to get the job done here, especially due to them playing quite well at home. Their threat from set pieces makes them unique and gives them a chance to score from any point or situation in the game. Our prediction is for Arsenal to win this game by 3 goals to nil at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday.

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