AVFC (Aston Villa) vs NFFC (Nottingham Forest) Match Prediction

AVFC

59%

Chance of Winning

NFFC

41%

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Apr 08, 202305:00 PM

England

Villa Park

Aston Villa is all set to lock horns with Nottingham Forest at Villa Park on Saturday. Villa currently sits in the 7th spot in the Premier League table with 44 points having played 29 games. Nottingham Forest sits close to the drop-zone in the 17th spot with 27 points having the same number of points as Bournemouth who sit in the 18th spot with a worse goal difference.

Aston Villa’s rise after the sacking of Steven Gerrard has been monumental. Villa appointed former Arsenal manager Unai Emery. His appointment was not taken well by most of the Villa faithful. Unai Emery has certainly proved the doubters wrong. When Emery took over on October 25th 2022, Villa was just 1 point above the relegation zone where Nottingham now finds itself. The Spanish manager however has turned their fortunes around with Villa now finding themselves 7th in the league with European Football in their sights. Since Emery’s accession to the Villa hot seat, only Arsenal and Manchester City have collected more points than his side. Aston Villa beat Leicester City in their last encounter with goals from striker Ollie Watkins and Bertrand Traore in each half. Villa is one of the most in-form teams in the Premier League at the moment.

Nottingham Forest on the other hand is flirting with relegation and is on an extensive winless run. Forest manager Steve Cooper whose job is under massive threat lost to relegation rivals Leeds United on Tuesday. Things started on a bright note for Forest at Elland Road as Orel Mangala gave them the lead in the 12th minute, however, Leeds United retaliated and went on to take the lead before half-time with goals from Jack Harrison and Luis Sinisterra. Forest could not capitalise in the 2nd half allowing Leeds to catapult over them in the points table. Forest is now one of the worst teams in the Premier League in terms of recent form, they haven’t won a single game in their last eight matches and will face a stern test when they take on Emery’s Aston Villa on Saturday.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Chance of Winning

Aston Villa’s record when it comes to squaring off against Forest has been quite good in recent times. Villa has won 60 games; 31 games have ended in a draw with Forest winning 38 times. Villa has the better record to show for it. Aston Villa is however flying under Unai Emery. Aston Villa has 4 wins and one draw in their last five games. Aston Villa is also now only three points behind 3rd placed Newcastle.

Forest on the other hand is struggling to find results under Steve Cooper. The hierarchy at Forest has spent 160m pounds on a raft of new players but it just isn’t clicking for them. Defensively Steve Cooper’s men have been shoddy, they have conceded the 2nd most goals in the Premier League this season with 52 goals. Villa on paper and form looks like a more comprehensive unit. With all these factors Aston Villa goes into this game against Nottingham Forest with a much greater chance of winning.

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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Predictions and Betting Tips

According to the bookmakers, Aston Villa goes into this game as landslide favourites to win. According to this season’s statistics, Villa tends to score 1.64 goals a game at home this season and Ollie Watkins is a major contributor to that. Watkins became the 1st player to score in 6 consecutive away games in the Premier League since Manchester City’s Kun Aguero. He has scored 8 goals in his last 10 games which makes odds on favourite to score against Forest.

Backing Forest to not score a goal against Villa on Saturday can gain returns. Forest’s average rate of scoring in away games is just 0.36 goals a game. Nottingham Forest has failed to score more than 1 goal a game away this season. They have failed to score in 9 away games this season.

Final Prediction:Aston Villa to beat Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa Players List

Goalkeepers: Emiliano Martinez, Jed Steer, Robin Olsen, Viljami Sinisalo

Defenders: Matty Cash, Diego Carlos, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Alexandre Moreno, Calum Chambers, Ashley Young, Lucas Digne

Midfielders: Douglas Luiz, John McGinn, Bertrand Traore, Emiliano Buendia, Phillipe Coutinho, Leon Bailey, Leander Dendoncker, Jacob Ramsey, Boubacar Kamara

Attackers: Ollie Watkins, Jhon Duran

Aston Villa Playing XI

Aston Villa Team Form(Last 5 games): W, W, W, D, W

Nottingham Forest Players List

Goalkeepers: Dean Henderson, Keylor Navas, Wayne Hennessey

Defenders: Giulian Biancone, Steve Cook, Joe Worrall, Nico Williams, Harry Toffolo, Moussa Niakhate, Serge Aurier, Scott McKenna, Omar Richards, Willy Boly, Renan Lodi, Felipe

Midfielders: Orel Mangala, Jonjo Shelvey, Jack Colback, Morgan Gibbs-White, Jesse Lingard, Lewis O'Brien, Ribeiro Dias, Cheikhou Kouyate, Ryan Yates, Remo Freuler, Danilo, Gustavo Scarpa

Attackers: Taiwo Awoniyi, Sam Surridge, Alex Mighten, Brennan Johnson, Emmanuel Dennis, Lyle Taylor, Andre Ayew, Chris Wood

Nottingham Forest Playing XI

Nottingham Forest Team Form(Last five-game): L, D, L, L, D

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head-To-Head

Matches Played:129

Aston Villa wins:60

Nottingham Forest wins:38

Matches are drawn:31

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Betting Odds

The odds of Nottingham Forest winning are set at 5.80. Aston Villa are major favourites to win with their odds being set at 1.69. The odds of the match ending in a draw are set at 4.25. The betting odds have been calculated by the bookmakers based on team performances in previous matches, player records and other contributing factors.

Our Prediction

Favorites to win: Aston Villa

We predict that Aston Villa will be outright favourites to beat Nottingham Forest at Villa Park on Saturday. Villa has a decent record at home but their recent heroics against teams like Chelsea and Leicester make them favourites at home. Villa this season have won 50% of their games at home. They have scored an average of 1.65 goals a game at home and have conceded 1.36 goals a game. Forest on the contrary is one of the worst teams in the Premier League when it comes to playing away. They have 4 consecutive defeats in their last 5 away games in the Premier League. They have won only 7% of their games away from home and have conceded an average of 2.43 goals a game. With Villa’s meteoric rise and Forest’s poor record away from home and results other than Villa winning would be a major shock.

Shankar Shekh

Sportscafe's author

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