AVFC (Aston Villa) vs TOT (Tottenham Hotspur) Match Prediction

AVFC

60%

Chance of Winning

TOT

40%

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May 13, 202305:00 PM

England

Villa Park

Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur are set to battle it out at Villa Park on Saturday with European spots in play. Tottenham Hotspur currently sits in the 6th spot in the Premier League table with 57 points having played 35 games. Aston Villa sits in the 8th spot with 54 points having also played 35 games. A win for Villa will take them level on points with Spurs and give them a fair shot at one of the Europa League spots.

Aston Villa suffered their 2nd consecutive loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers at the Molineux last Saturday. The result which was a shock to many ensured Wolves their survival status for next season’s Premier League. Aston Villa was rocked earlier in the game as Toti Gomes rose highest to head Wolves ahead in the 9th minute. Buendia's shot looked certain to find the back of the net and level things for Villa but Jose Sa made a fantastic save to keep Wolves in the lead. Villa looked the more dominant team in the latter stages of the game. They had multiple chances to equalise with the likes of Ollie Watkins heading a free header straight into the goalkeepers’ hands. Tyrone Mings had a golden opportunity to level things later on for Villa but his shot from point-blank range went well over the bar. Villa will have to be more clinical in front of goal against Tottenham Hotspur.

Spurs registered their first victory in 4 games after they beat Crystal Palace 1-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Crystal Palace came into this game on the back of a good run of results. Spurs on the other hand were a team that needed to turn a corner after they were beaten and bruised in their last couple of games. Palace had the best opening chance after Andersen’s header from a corner nearly fell to Marc Guehi. Hojbjerg and Olise’s tame shots both failed to work the goalkeepers. The deadlock was finally broken in the added time of the first half as Harry Kane rose fantastically to head home Pedro Porro’s cross. Palace in the 2nd half failed to break the Spurs’ resilience and defensive line. Tottenham Hotspur held on to gain a much-needed win and lift some pressure.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Chance of Winning

Spurs have quite a superior head-to-head record against Aston Villa when they have faced off in recent times. In the last 27 games between these two sides, Spurs have won 18 games; 4 games have ended in a draw with Villa winning only 5 times. Spurs have also been utterly dominant and have a good track record at Villa Park off late as well.

Aston Villa have won each of their last five games at Villa Park. Villa’s dominance at home sees them collect 1.88 points per game on average. They have won 10 games, drawn 2 and lost 5 at home this season. Villa last lost a game at Villa Park on February 18th to Arsenal. The Spurs have been poor away from home this season. Tottenham Hotspur has a 29%-win rate on the road in the Premier League. Spurs have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 7 games this season. In their last five games on the road, Spurs have lost three and drawn two.

Aston Villa go into this game with a superior chance of winning. Their impeccable home form topped with the cohesiveness of their team makes them a better outfit in comparison to Tottenham Hotspur.

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Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions and Betting Tips

As per the bookmakers, Aston Villa goes into this game as odds-on favourites to win. According to this season’s statistics, Villa tends to score 1.71 goals a game at Villa Park. Villa have been fantastic under Unai Emery at home. Villa has enjoyed a fantastic scoring record under Unai Emery. Post the sacking of former manager Steven Gerrard, Villa scored in each of the first 20 Premier League that Unai Emery took charge in. However, in their last two games, Villa have failed to score a single goal. We back Villa to get into their scoring touch against Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday. Villa scoring under 2.5 goals is a safe risk to bank on. In terms of goal-scorers for Villa, Ollie Watkins will be the odds-on favourite. In the last three seasons in the Premier League, only 5 players have more combined goals and assists than Watkins’ 39 goals and 13 assists. The Englishman already has 14 goals in the Premier League season and looks set to terrorise the Spurs' defence.

Tottenham Hotspur conceding more than one goal could be a risky but good punt to bank on. Spurs have conceded more than one goal in four of their last five games in the Premier League. Villa Park is one of the stadiums that can get quite hostile and if Spurs concede early, it could open the floodgates. The Spurs always have a bankable asset in Harry Kane. Despite his team's struggles, Kane has always found a way to keep scoring goals. The Englishman has now scored in 23 games in the Premier League this season. Kane just needs to score in 2 more games to break Mo Salah’s scoring record of 24 games. Kane is the odds-on favourite for Spurs to score. Fraser Forster looks likely to be the busier of the two goalkeepers. The goalkeeper made 7 saves against Liverpool in their last away game and could be in for another busy night. Backing Forster to make 3 or more saves could be a punt.

Final Prediction:Aston Villa to beat Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa Player List

Goalkeepers: Emiliano Martinez, Jed Steer, Robin Olsen, Viljami Sinisalo

Defenders: Matty Cash, Diego Carlos, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Alexandre Moreno, Calum Chambers, Ashley Young, Lucas Digne

Midfielders: Douglas Luiz, John McGinn, Bertrand Traore, Emiliano Buendia, Phillipe Coutinho, Leon Bailey, Leander Dendoncker, Jacob Ramsey, Boubacar Kamara

Attackers: Ollie Watkins, Jhon Duran

Aston Villa Playing XI

Aston Villa Team Form(Last five games): L, L, W, D, W

Spurs Playing XI

Spurs Team Form(Last five games): W, L, D, L, L

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Head-To-Head

Matches Played:171

Aston Villa wins:58

Tottenham Hotspur wins:77

Matches are drawn:36

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Odds

The odds of Spurs winning are set at 3.10. Aston Villa is the favourite to win with their odds being set at 2.38. The odds of the match ending in a draw are set at 3.81. The betting odds have been calculated based on team performances in previous matches, player records etc. Odds are subject to change before the game.

Our Prediction

Favorites to win: Aston Villa

We predict that Aston Villa will be favourites to beat Tottenham Hotspur at Villa Park on Saturday. Ever since Unai Emery got hold of the club, Villa Park has become a fortress. The bounce and the positive energy have rejuvenated the stadium which has made it difficult for the opposition teams in recent times. Villa have not conceded a single goal in any of their last five wins at Villa Park, such has been the domination. Ollie Watkins has been the spearhead for Villa in terms of goals. Villa under Emery has been a very well-organised unit capable of toppling the best of teams on a given day.

Spurs are going to have a mountain task of beating Aston Villa on Saturday. Tottenham has not had the best of results of late whilst playing away. The Spurs' defence tends to buckle under pressure at hostile stadiums and if they concede early against Villa, it could be a long night for them. The Spurs will have to be defensively sound if they aim to get something from this game. However, can Tottenham be defensively sound on an away trip? Their last away trips to Liverpool and Spurs give us an idea of why we feel that Aston Villa go into this game as favourites.

Shankar Shekh

Sportscafe's author

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