LIV (Liverpool) vs AFCB (AFC Bournemouth) Match Prediction

LIV

97%

Chance of Winning

AFCB

3%

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England

Anfield

Liverpool will face off against AFC Bournemouth at Anfield on Saturday in a bid to get back to winning ways. Both teams come into this on the back of home losses. Liverpool got their first loss of the season as they were beaten by Nottingham Forest. Nuno Santo’s men were under the cosh in the first half as Luis Diaz struck the post with a stunning effort. Sels in goal was amazing for the Tricky Trees, denying the Liverpool attack on multiple occasions. The introduction of Hudson Odoi and Elanga for Forest in the second half gave them a different dimension, especially in the transition. Forest’s defensive resolve bore fruit as both the subs combined with Hudson-Odoi striking wonderfully to beat Allison in goal. Forest has defensively been brilliant this season, shutting Liverpool up for the remainder of the game and winning for the first time in 55 years at Anfield.

AFC Bournemouth themselves might have been shocked as to how they did not get more from their game against Chelsea. The Cherries were all over the Blues in the first half and should have easily scored more on the day. Tavernier struck the crossbar early in the game; however, the turning point was when Evanilson was brought down by Sanchez in the box. The No. 9, however, missed the penalty. Bournemouth in the latter stages of the game dropped off, which brought Chelsea into the game, allowing Nkunku to score the eventual winner in the 86th minute.

Facts:

  • Liverpool have a brilliant record against AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League. The Merseyside Reds have lost just 1 of their last 10 games against the Cherries, with that defeat coming in 2023 at the Vitality Stadium. Liverpool, however, have won the remaining 9 games.
  • Anfield is a horrible stadium to visit for most opposition teams, but for AFC Bournemouth, it has been brutal, especially in recent times. The Cherries have lost in nine of their last 10 visits to Anfield against Liverpool. The only time they managed to get something from this stadium was in 2017 when they held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw.
  • Bournemouth also have a horrible record when they have to play a team away from home that starts the Premier League weekend in the top 4. The Cherries have lost 25 of the 29 games they have played against such teams, with just 2 wins and 2 draws to their name.
  • Defeats for Liverpool at Anfield have recently come more often than before. Last week’s loss to Nottingham Forest was their second loss in their last 5 games at Anfield. Before these 5 games, Liverpool had 1 defeat in a total of 58 Premier League games at home.
  • Liverpool this season has been rock solid in defence. The Merseyside Reds have conceded just 1 goal in 4 games and have conceded a total of just 28 shots in those games. No other team in the Premier League has conceded fewer shots or goals in the Premier League in their first 4 games.

Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth Chance of Winning

Liverpool have completely owned AFC Bournemouth when it comes to the recent head-to-head record. In the last 18 games between the two teams, AFC Bournemouth has won just 2 games; 1 game ended in a draw, with Liverpool winning a massive 18 times.

Nottingham Forest last week won the game against Liverpool by being resolute in defence. AFC Bournemouth have all but shown defensive stability in the Premier League in their first 4 games. The Cherries will need to fix their defence if they hope to get something from this game. Evanilson will need to shake off the penalty miss, and alongside Semenyo and Kluivert, he will need to be clinical in front of the goal. Liverpool does not provide teams with a lot of opportunities to score; hence, Bournemouth will need to take the scraps that they get.

Liverpool proved against Milan in the midweek that their loss to Forest was a one off. However, they still need to back that up with a win against Bournemouth. We do believe that they are facing a team with less defensive focus, and that is why they will triumph come Saturday.

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Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions and Betting Tips

The oddsmakers in this game hands down favour Liverpool to beat AFC Bournemouth at Anfield on Saturday. Even though Liverpool lost to Forest last week, they do have a massive odds backing of 1.29 in comparison to AFC Bournemouth, who are given an odds ratio of 9.70. Liverpool were stunned last time around at home, but the oddsmakers do not see them losing another game at home that too in successive games. Liverpool performed well in Europe against a strong team AC Milan, and we believe that they will back that result up by beating Bournemouth.

Arne Slot’s men losing at Anfield was a big shock. Liverpool as a team is expected to get maximum points from every home game, especially against teams like Nottingham Forest. The international break prior to that game may have affected their players, but Liverpool did not look good at all there. However, that did look like a one-off instance.

AFC Bournemouth, on the other hand, come into this game on the back of a disappointing loss against Chelsea at home. The Cherries have played 2 games away from home and have drawn 1 and lost 1. However, their only win this season has come away from home at Merseyside, where they beat Liverpool’s rivals in Everton. Bournemouth have overperformed their expected goal tally massively away from home with an xG of 1.60 scoring 2 goals. The Cherries have the attack to cause trouble, but defensive issues persist.

Here are our tips and predictions for this game on Sunday. We back Liverpool to be victorious by a 2 or more-goal margin. Our call is for the Merseyside Reds to score 2 or more goals in this game. Liverpool prior to the Nottingham game scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 games. They also scored 3 against AC Milan in the midweek game. We back Liverpool to keep a clean sheet in this game. Arne Slot’s men have conceded in each of their last 2 games in all competitions, but Bournemouth failed to break Chelsea’s resolve at home. Liverpool’s defence at Anfield is much better; hence, we expect them to keep their 4th clean sheet of the season.

In terms of scoring, we back Mo Salah to get back to his scoring form. The winger has not scored in any of his last 2 games in all competitions but has a fantastic record against Bournemouth. Salah has scored nine goals in nine Premier League games against Bournemouth. He already has 3 goals to his name this season; hence, we back Liverpool’s No. 11 to get on the scoresheet anytime in the game.

Luis Diaz is another player that is going under the radar in terms of output. The Colombian international has 3 goals and 1 assist in his first 4 Premier League games. He is another player to keep an eye on for an anytime goal or assist in this game.

Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s most direct player in attack. Semenyo has already seen himself score two goals this season. He averages a shot on target in every game this season. We see him making an effort to be on target in this game as well. On the break, Bournemouth could get at Liverpool, and that is where Semenyo could test Allison.

Milos Kerkez will come face-to-face against Mo Salah in this game, as the Hungarian will start as left back for Bournemouth. Kerkez, at times, can be quite reckless, and his stats do show that he averages at least 1 foul every game. Against Salah and Trent Alexander Arnold, he could have a tough game. Hence, we see Kerkez committing 1 or more fouls in this game.

We also expect Bournemouth keeper Kepa to be busy at Anfield. Against a team like Everton, he made six saves on the day. We do see him having a busier afternoon on Saturday against a stronger attack than Liverpool. We expect Kepa to make a minimum of 3 saves on Saturday.

Final Prediction:Liverpool to beat Nottingham Forest.

Liverpool Player List

Goalkeepers: Allison Becker, Adrian, Caoimhin Kelleher, Marcelo Pitaluga

Defenders: Virgil Van Djik, Ibrahima Konate, Joel Matip, Trent Alexander Arnold, Kostas Tsimikas, Andy Robertson, Joe Gomez, Connor Bradley, Rhys Williams, Nathaniel Phillips, Sepp Van Den Berg, Jarell Quansah

Midfielders: Alexis Mac Allister, Curtis Jones, Harvey Elliot, Stefan Bajcetic, Dominik Szoboszlai, Wataru Endo

Attackers: Mo Salah, Cody Gakpo, Darwin Nunez, Diogo Jota, Luiz Diaz, Ben Doak.

Liverpool Playing XI

Player

Role

Allison Becker

Goalkeeper

Trent Alexander-Arnold

Defender

Ibrahima Konate

Defender

Virgil Van Dijk

Defender

Andy Robertson

Defender

Alexis Mac Allister

Midfielder

Ryan Gravenberch

Midfielder

Dominik Szoboszlai

Midfielder

Diogo Jota

Attacker

Luis Diaz

Attacker

Mo Salah

Attacker

Liverpool Team Form(Last five games): W, L, W, W, W

AFC Bournemouth Player List

Goalkeepers: Neto, Will Dennis, Mark Travers, Alex Paulsen

Defenders: Dean Huijsen, Milos Kerkez, Chris Mepham, Adam Smith, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Illia Zabarnyi, Max Aarons, Julian Araujo

Midfielders: Lewis Cook, David Brooks, Romain Favre, Ryan Christie, Alex Scott, Marcus Tavernier, Hamed Traore, Gavin Kilkenny, Philip Billing, Tyler Adams

Attackers:Dango Ouattara, Justin Kluivert, Enes Unal, Antoine Semenyo, Jaidon Anthony, Luis Sinesterra, Evanilson

AFC Bournemouth Playing XI

Player

Role

Neto

Goalkeeper

Adam Smith

Defender

Illia Zabarnyi

Defender

Marcos Senesi

Defender

Milos Kerkez

Defender

Ryan Christie

Midfielder

Alex Scott

Midfielder

Philip Billing

Midfielder

Antoine Semenyo

Attacker

Justin Kluivert

Attacker

Evanilson

Attacker

AFC Bournemouth Team Form(Last five games): L, W, L, D, D

Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth Head-To-Head

Matches Played:120

Liverpool wins:60

AFC Bournemouth wins:31

Matches are drawn:29

Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth Betting Odds

Liverpool to win the match (PARIMATCH): 1.29.

AFC Bournemouth to win the match (PARIMATCH): 9.70.

Match to end in a draw (PARIMATCH): 6.35.

The betting odds have been calculated based on team performances in previous matches, player records etc. Odds are subject to change.

Our Prediction

Favorites to win

Liverpool

The oddsmakers have once again backed Liverpool quite convincingly, even though they come into this game on the back of a home defeat to Nottingham Forest. It is hard to see Liverpool losing two home games in a row, especially to AFC Bournemouth. The Cherries should have got something more in their game against Chelsea, but Liverpool at Anfield is a different ball game altogether. The record that Liverpool have at Anfield against Bournemouth indicates that they should easily be winning this game. Bournemouth have not looked very convincing in their games, especially defensively. Against Everton, they conceded 2 goals, so it will be double the difficulty against Liverpool. Hence we back Arne Slot’s men to win comfortably come Saturday. Liverpool registering a 3-0 win over AFC Bournemouth is our call.
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