Newcastle United vs Liverpool Match Prediction

NUFC

70%

Chance of Winning

LIV

30%

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Feb 18, 202308:30 PM

England

St James’ Park

Newcastle United is set to welcome Liverpool at St James’ Park in a crucial tie for both teams. Newcastle United are enjoying a stellar season under Eddie Howe sitting in 4th place in the Premier League. It has been a monumental turnaround for the Geordies considering they were not tipped at the start of the season to compete for a Champions League spot. Newcastle United are also in the finals of the Carabao Cup in which they will face Manchester United. Newcastle’s success this season is credited to their organisation in games and defensive stability. Though Newcastle still sits in 4th place with 41 points, their form post the World Cup has been lukewarm. Though Newcastle hasn’t lost in seven games since the World Cup they have won just two and drawn five. Newcastle. They have also drawn their last three games in a row against the likes of Bournemouth, Leeds United and West Ham United, fixtures in which they were favourites to win. Newcastle’s lack of creating and converting chances in front of the goal is costing them points and bringing the teams below them in the table closer. Newcastle sits in 4th position with 41 points with Tottenham sitting in 5th with 39 points having played a game extra. Newcastle at home is a different animal. The Geordies have not lost a game at home all season winning six and drawing five of the 11 games played. Newcastle will be varied of the threat Tottenham and Brighton could pose in their hunt for the Champions League. Eddie Howe and his Toon Army will want to start turning draws into wins to once again start extending the gap from the 5th position.

Liverpool FC has shocked a fair few when it comes to their performance in the Premier League this season. Last season, the Reds won the Carabao Cup and the FA Cup reached the Champions League Final and lost the Premier League Title to Manchester City only by a point. Last season’s long haul in every competition has seemed to have derailed Liverpool this season. The Reds sit 9th position in the League 9 points away from 4th placed Newcastle with a game in hand. They have 19 points behind League Leaders Manchester City with two games in hand. Liverpool FC has had a lot of injuries also to deal with this season. The likes of Diogo Jota, Luis Diaz and Roberto Firmino have been on the sidelines for long spells. The major cause though for Liverpool’s demise this season is their ageing midfield. Liverpool’s starting midfield of Thiago, Henderson and Fabinho has not produced a single goal or assist this season. Jurgen Klopp and his men were victorious against arch-rivals Everton in the Merseyside derby on Monday. Liverpool won their 1st game since the 31st of December in the Premier League with Mo Salah giving them the lead in the 1st half and Cody Gakpo scoring his first goal in a Liverpool shirt in the 2nd half. With Liverpool being 9 points away from 4th spot every game becomes crucial from this point. Beating a top 4 contender would give Liverpool’s bleak chances of qualifying for the Champions League a boost. It will however be a big challenge for Jurgen Klopp and his men as Newcastle is formidable at home and Liverpool are suspect away from home.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Chance of Winning

Newcastle United has been impressive this season. Eddie Howe has made his team into a very well-oiled, hard-to-beat side. Newcastle United have lost just once all season. The Geordies have been exceptional at home winning 6 of the 11 games they have played this season. Newcastle has also not lost a single game at home. Newcastle has had an issue with outscoring teams this season. The Geordies have drawn 11 of the 22 games they have played this season with 4 draws coming in their last five games.

Liverpool on the other hand has been poor when they play away from home. The Reds have lost 6 of their 10 away games winning just 2 and drawing 2. Liverpool comes into this game on the back of a victory against Everton but their form before that was poor. The win against Everton was their 1st victory since New Year’s Eve. Liverpool has lost their last three away games on the spin to lesser opponents. It could be a tough task for Jurgen Klopp and his men at St James’ Park on Saturday.

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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Predictions and Betting Tips

Newcastle United go into this game as favourites to win. The Geordies tend to win 55% of their games at home. Though Newcastle rarely manages to score a ton of goals, they have a return of 2.08 goals a game at home. Newcastle is also resolute when it comes to defending conceding just 1.13 goals a game on average. Newcastle to score more than 0.5 goals has fruition of 82%

Liverpool on the other hand fails to score in 40% of their away games. Liverpool will also be favourites to concede at least one goal as they have just a 10% chance of keeping a clean sheet away from home. Betting against Liverpool scoring more than 2.5 goals can gain returns as they just have a 10% chance.

Final Prediction:Newcastle to beat Liverpool

Liverpool FC Players List

Goalkeepers: Allison Becker, Adrian, Caoimhim Kelleher

Defenders: Virgil Van Djik, Ibrahima Konate, Joel Matip, Trent Alexander Arnold, Calvin Ramsay, Kostas Tsimikas, Andy Robertson, Joe Gomez, Nathaniel Phillips

Midfielders: Fabinho, Thiago, James Milner, Naby Keita, Jordan Henderson, Alex Oxlade- Chamberlain, Curtis Jones, Harvey Elliot, Artur Melo, Stefan Bajcetic

Attackers: Roberto Firmino, Mo Salah, Cody Gakpo, Darwin Nunez, Diogo Jota, Luiz Diaz, Harvey Elliot, Fabio Carvalho

Liverpool Playing XI

Liverpool Team Form(Last 5 games): W, L, D, L, L

Newcastle Player List

Goalkeepers: Martin Dubravka, Mark Gillespie, Nick Pope, Loris Karius

Defenders: Paul Dummett, Fabian Schar, Jamaal Lascelles, Jamal Lewis, Kieran Trippier, Emil Kraft, Javier Manquillo, Dan Burn, Sven Botman, Matt Targett, Harrison Ashby

Midfielders: Matt Richie, Ryan Fraser, Jacob Murphy, Miguel Almiron, Joe Willock, Sean Longstaff, Bruno Guimares, Elliot Anderson, Matty Longstaff, Lewis Miley, Joelinton, Callum Wilson, Allan Saint-Maximin, Alexander Isak, Anthony Gordon

Newcastle Playing XI

Newcastle United Team Form(Last five-game): D, D, D, W, D

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Head-To-Head

Matches Played: 184

Newcastle United wins: 50

Liverpool wins: 90

Matches are drawn: 44

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Betting Odds

The odds of Newcastle winning are set at 2.61. Liverpool is 2nd favourite to win with their odds being set at 2.89. The odds of the match ending in a draw are set at 3.71. The betting odds have been calculated based on team performances in previous matches, player records etc.

Our Prediction

Favorites to win: Newcastle United

We predict that Newcastle United will go into this fixture as favourites to win. Newcastle United have arguably been one of the best sides in the Premier League this season and one of the toughest to beat. The Geordies have lost just one game all season and have not lost a single game at home. Liverpool comes into this game on the back of a victory at home but their form away from home is not good. With Newcastle’s defence being one of the best in the Premier League, Liverpool could find it difficult to score against them. Liverpool averaged 1.1 goals a game away from home this season. Jurgen Klopp’s team have scored only 11 goals in 10 away games this season. Newcastle United have conceded just 6 goals from 11 games at home this season. Liverpool will find it difficult to break down Newcastle. Liverpool is the only side to beat Newcastle this season when they played at Anfield but at home, Newcastle is favourites to win.

Shankar Shekh

Sportscafe's author

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