Derbyshire vs Middlesex County Championship Division Two Match Prediction

DER

36%

Chance of Winning

MID

64%

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Apr 25, 202503:30 PM

First class

County Ground

Derbyshire are poised to clash with Middlesex from April 25 to 28, 2025, in the County Championship Division Two. They will square off at County Ground, Derby, with the match scheduled to start at 3:30 P.M IST.

Derbyshire vs Middlesex Chances of Winning

Derbyshire were under quite a bit of pressure in the last encounter against Northamptonshire where the former were bundled out for 307 runs. Wicket-keeper batter Brooke Guest and skipper Wayne Madsen top-scored with 91 and 89 runs, respectively, and despite the fact that they had a competitive total on the board, Northamptonshire outperformed them with 500 runs during their chase. Derbyshire had to make up the deficit and set a target but their prospects did not look great as they were 202/3 - this time, opener Caleb Jewell was the top batter with 71 runs and Wayne Madsen was a close second with 62 runs. The match eventually ended in a draw.

Middlesex bounced back and achieved their first victory of the season against Glamorgan last time out after a solid batting display. When the latter were limited to a 199-run total, Middlesex responded by piling on a whopping 470 runs; Max Holden was a centurion as he scored 107 runs and he was followed by Leus du Plooy, Ben Geddes and Nathan Fernandes who notched up 89, 83 and 58 runs. Glamorgan added 329 runs to their tally but it was not enough to keep Middlesex at bay who made up the deficit with nine wickets in hand.

• Derbyshire chance of winning - 36%
• Middlesex chance of winning - 64%

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Derbyshire vs Middlesex Betting Tips

Middlesex to score low before first dismissal

Nathan Fernandes showed a minor improvement in form during the last match against Glamorgan where he scored a half-century after a massive drought of scores. His partnership with Stephen Eskinazi has yielded scores of 75, 9, 11, 8, 5 and 4 runs in the previous three matches. Save for one instance where their partnership clicked and they piled on a competitive score, Middlesex’s opening wicket has been down in the dumps and they are not endorsed to do well against Derbyshire’s bowling attack.

Derbyshire vs Middlesex Toss Prediction

County Ground in Derby is better suited for chasing and the last two matches held here during the present season proved that. Both times, the toss winning skippers elected to field first and it turned out to be successful once while the other match was drawn. The average first innings stand of 265 is not safe at this venue and chasing will be favored by the toss winner of the next match.

Weather Report

The threat of rain is quite low at Derby with a 10% possibility of precipitation but overcast skies are expected to prevail. The temperature is going to reach 14 degrees Celsius.

Derbyshire Player List

Wayne Madsen (c), David Lloyd, Harry Came, Matthew Lamb, Mitchell Wagstaff, Ross Whiteley, Alex Thomson, Anuj Dal, Luis Reece, Martin Andersson, Samit Patel, Yusuf Bin Naeem, Aneurin Donald, Brooke Guest, Ben Aitchison, Blair Tickner, Daryn Dupavillon, Harry Moore, Jack Morley, Mohammad Amir, Nick Potts, Pat Brown, Samuel Conners, Zak Chappell, Caleb Jewell.

Predicted Playing XI

Derbyshire Team Form

Derbyshire’s batting is getting stronger with every match and skipper Wayne Madsen has contributed a lot to their success. Their bowling, however, could improve as they rely heavily on all-rounder Luis Reece to do much of the work.

Middlesex Player List

Toby Roland-Jones (c), Leus du Plooy, Mark Stoneman, Martin Andersson, Max Holden, Sam Robson, Joshua De Caires, Luke Hollman, Nathan Fernandes, Ryan Higgins, Jack Davies, Joe Cracknell, Robbie White, Stephen Eskinazi, Blake Cullen, Ethan Bamber, Henry Brookes, Ishaan Kaushal, Noah Cornwell, Thilan Walallawita, Tom Helm, Ben Geddes, Zafar Gohar.

Predicted Playing XI

Middlesex Team Form

Middlesex’s batters are quite dependent on Max Holden to do the bulk of the scoring but the team’s performance in the last match showed promise.

Derbyshire vs Middlesex Head-to-Head

Middlesex have the upper hand in their last five head-to-head games against Derbyshire, having won three times while the latter have one victory.

Head-to-Head Record - Last Five Matches

Derbyshire - 1

Middlesex - 3

Draw - 1

Derbyshire vs Middlesex Betting Odds

Derbyshire to have a better opening partnership than Middlesex

Middlesex have had a great deal of struggle at the front, particularly with Nathan Fernandes being out of form. Although there was a slight improvement in the previous game, their performance overall has not been convincing at all. In the last three games, the openers scored 75, 9, 11, 8, 5 and 4 runs before the first dismissal. Derbyshire’s openers are on a similar boat as David Lloyd and Caleb Jewell secured totals of 23, 37, 5, 19, 58 and 19 runs in the last three matches. Derbyshire have been more reliable in this regard and have a better opportunity to outdo Middlesex’s first wicket.

Derbyshire vs Middlesex

First class

County Ground, null

Derbyshire

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1.56

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Middlesex

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2.25

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Derbyshire vs Middlesex Best Batters

Wayne Madsen to be Derbyshire’s Best Batter

Wayne Madsen was the second leading run scorer for Derbyshire in both innings against Northamptonshire last time out, having scored 89 runs in the first innings and 62* runs in the second. He is the team’s leading batter overall with 387 runs in five innings, including one century and three half-centuries. With a stellar average of 96.75, he is the top pick against Middlesex as well.

Max Holden to be Middlesex’s Best Batter

The prediction for the previous game turned out as expected since Max Holden led Middlesex’s first innings against Glamorgan with 107 runs. Although he scored a mere seven runs in the second innings, he remains Middlesex’s top run-getter with 398 runs in six innings and an average of 66.33. He is expected to lead the charge once again in the next encounter.

Derbyshire vs Middlesex Best Bowlers

Luis Reece to be Derbyshire’s Best Bowler

Luis Reece was tied as the leading bowler for Derbyshire in the last game against Northamptonshire where he picked two wickets in his sole 19-over spell. He continues to be Derbyshire’s top wicket-taker with 15 wickets in five innings and a brilliant average of 20.86 which makes him the leading contender for the upcoming match, too.

Zafar Gohar to be Middlesex’s Best Bowler

Zafar Gohar was not Middlesex’s top bowler against Glamorgan but he captured two wickets in each of the two innings. He is the leading wicket-taker for the team, having taken 13 wickets in six innings and an average of 24.38. His consistency makes him a reliable option against Derbyshire.

Our Prediction

Favorites to win

Middlesex

Derbyshire started the tournament on a positive note with a victory in the first match but their following games were quite lackluster since they drew both. They are placed third on the Division Two points table and their upcoming rivals, Middlesex, made their way up to fourth after a win against Glamorgan in the last outing. Middlesex also have a 3-1 lead over Derbyshire in the previous five meetings which puts the former at an advantage ahead of the next game.

• Derbyshire to win @ 2.23 (Parimatch)
• Middlesex to win @ 1.56 (Parimatch)

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