La Liga, Ligue A, Serie A and Premier League’s D-day threatens to be chaotic and exciting

Gameweek 38. The final Gameweek for four of Europe’s five big leagues which officially brings the season to an end for most teams. There is a Champions League final about eight days from now but that’s neither here nor there as only two teams will battle it out for that. But when it comes to Europe’s big dogs, this is the final weekend of club football before they go on a break. So soak it all in because there is still a lot left in play.

The battle for the Scudetto:

2nd)Inter Milan - 81 points (37 games) GD +49 | GF 81 | GA 32

The battle for Europa League and Europa Conference League football:

5th) Lazio - 63 points (37 games) GD +19 | GF 74 | GA 55

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7th) Fiorentina - 59 points (37 games) GD +6 | GF 57 | GA 51

8th) Atalanta - 59 points (37 games) GD +18 | GF 65 | GA 47

Since Lazio have already qualified for the Europa League, based on head-to-head, that means that there’s only one spot left in Europe’s second-best club tournament. But for Fiorentina to make the Europa League cut, they will have to better Roma’s last day result because they lose in the head-to-head against Jose Mourinho’s side. 

The battle against relegation:

17th) Salernitana - 31 points (37 games) GD -41 | GF 33 | GA 74

18th) Cagliari Calcio - 29 points (37 games) GD -34 | GF 34 | GA 68

R) Genoa - 28 points (37 games) GD -32 | GF 27 | GA 59

However, should Cagliari win and Salernitana lose then the former will obviously leap over the current 17th place side and the latter will get relegated. A win for Salernitana and no matter what Cagliari do, I Granata are safe.

In England and the Premier League;

1st) Manchester City – 90 points (37 games) GD +72 | GF 96 | GA 24

2nd) Liverpool - 89 points (37 games) GD +66 | GF 91 | GA 25

Much like the title race in the Serie A, this is also simple. A win for Manchester City against Aston Villa ensures that they lift title number four in five years. 

But should they lose and Liverpool draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers then the title goes to the Reds if City loses by a margin of seven or more goals to Steven Gerrard’s side. Furthermore, should City draw, then the title goes to Anfield if they beat Wolves although if City match Liverpool’s result, then City will win. 

The battle for European football:

4th) Tottenham - 68 points (37 games) GD +24 | GF 64 | GA 40

5th) Arsenal - 66 points (37 games) GD +9 | GF 56 | GA 47

6th) Manchester United - 58 points (37 games) GD +1 | GF 57 | GA 56

7th) West Ham United- 56 points (37 games) GD +11 | GF 59 | GA 48

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However, it also means that the Gunners’ hopes of playing Champions League no longer rest in their hands. They’ll have to win and hope that Tottenham doesn't get anything more than zero points because of Spurs’ much superior goal-difference. But should Tottenham draw, then Arsenal will need to win by at least 16 goals against Everton in order to ensure that they overtake the goal-difference and leap over their rivals into fourth place.

As for the Europa League, thanks to Liverpool winning both domestic cups, fifth and sixth place get a direct entry into the group stages. But since one of Tottenham and Arsenal are guaranteed a fifth-place spot, Manchester United and West Ham will have to battle it out for sixth place. The Hammers sit two points behind and thus a win for them against Brighton will ensure sixth place if United either draw or lose.

The battle against relegation:

16th) Everton - 39 points (37 games) GD -19 | GF 42 | GA 61

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18th) Leeds United - 35 points (37 games) GD -38 | GF 40 | GA 74

Everton’s sensational comeback 3-2 win over Crystal Palace has ensured that they are safe for another season and thus it leaves Leeds United and Burnley to battle it out on D-Day. 

It means that the Clarets will need to match the Peacocks’ final day results in order to stay up because they have the superior goal-difference. A draw will also be enough for Burnley but only if Leeds either lose or earn nothing more than a point. For Leeds to survive, they need to better Burnley’s results because anything else will see them relegated.

The battle for Europa Conference League:

6th) Real Sociedad- 62 points (37 games) GD +4 | GF 39 | GA 35

7th) Villarreal - 56 points (37 games) GD +24 | GF 61 | GA 37

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A very simply permutation especially given that Athletic Club have the better of Villarreal because of the La Liga’s tiebreaker which states “tie is broken using the head-to-head goal difference” for two clubs. What that essentially means is that Villarreal have to better Athletic’s results in order to finish seventh and play Europa Conference League football. However, should the Basque side draw and the Yellow Submarines lose, then Athletic will leap over Villarreal into seventh.

16th) Granada - 37 points (37 games) GD -17 | GF 44 | GA 61

17th) RCD Mallorca - 36 points (37 games) GD -29 | GF 34 | GA 63

18th) Cadiz - 36 points (37 games) GD -17 | GF 34 | GA 51

R) Levante- 32 points (37 games) GD -27 | GF 47 | GA 74

In that case, RCD Mallorca hold the tiebreaker over Cádiz, Granada FC hold one over Mallorca and it’s level between Cádiz and Granada. It means that if Mallorca win while both Granada and Cadiz draw their final games, then Granada will be the ones to get relegated. On the other hand, if Granada wins while both Mallorca and Cadiz draw, then Cadiz are relegated. And so on.

In France and the Ligue 1;

2nd) AS Monaco - 68 points (37 games) GD +25 | GF 63 | GA 38

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4th) Stade Rennes - 65 points (37 games) GD +42 | GF 80 | GA 38

5th) RC Strasbourg - 63 points (37 games) GD +21 | GF 60 | GA 39

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7th) Lens- 61 points (37 games) GD +14 | GF 60 | GA 46

It means that Rennes could, with a win, leap over Monaco and into either second or third place depending on Marseille’s result. A loss for Marseille, alongside a Rennes win, would give them second place while a draw would ensure second for Marseille and third for Rennes. But lose and Stade Rennes could have others threaten their fourth place spot.

That includes RC Strasbourg and OGC Nice although both teams will have to make up the two-point buffer first. It means that either Strasbourg or Nice need to win to take over fourth place. But if both teams win, then they could take over fourth and fifth place while knocking Rennes to a sixth place finish. Yet a draw for Rennes would be enough to secure their fourth-place spot although for Strasbourg, their fifth and final European spot could be under threat if they drop points.

The battle against relegation:

17th) FC Lorient - 35 points (37 games) GD -28 | GF 34 | GA 62

18th) FC Metz - 31 points (37 games) GD -29 | GF 35 | GA 64

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20th) Bordeaux - 28 points (37 games) GD -41 | GF 48 | GA 89

With Lorient, Clermont Foot and Troyes all safe, it means that the only spot left to play for is 18th and the playoff place that it offers. However, for Bordeaux to make that cut, they’ll need a massive miracle and a big win over Stade Brest on D-Day. Not only that, they’ll need to hope that both FC Metz and St-Etienne lose their games and lose big in order to make up the difference in Goal Difference. Should either side draw, then Bordeaux are condemned to the Ligue 2 but the same doesn’t apply for St-Etienne.